Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Leixoes had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Leixoes win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Leixoes	Draw	Estoril Praia
28.99% ( -0.14)	25.76% ( -0.1)	45.24% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83% (

0.33)

51.17% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

0.29)

73.01% (

-0.29)

Leixoes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.96% (

0.07)

32.03% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

0.08)

68.5% (

-0.08)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42% (

0.25)

22.57% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83% (

0.37)

56.17% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Leixoes 29%

Estoril Praia 45.24%

Draw 25.76%

Leixoes	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 29%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.24%