Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 25, 2023 at 11am UK

Estadio do Canelas Gaia Futebol Clube

Canelas 2010
1 - 3
Maritimo

Sousa (90+4')
Samu (45+4'), Simao (45+2'), Chico (74'), Doukoure (75'), Ribeiro (75'), Doukoure (76')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bica (7'), Xadas (45+3'), Euller (76')
Xadas (36'), Silva (53'), Abedzadeh (60'), Euller (82')
Parente (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Canelas 2010 and Maritimo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canelas 2010

Last Game: Canelas 2010 0-0 Chaves (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Maritimo

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Maritimo 4-1 Mortagua
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Canelas 2010 had a probability of 8.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.97%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Canelas 2010 win it was 2-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Canelas 2010	Draw	Maritimo
8.61% ( 0.03)	14.23% ( 0.01)	77.15% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.79% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.08% (

0.04)

32.92% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.37% (

0.05)

54.63% (

-0.04)

Canelas 2010 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.59% (

0.09)

45.41% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.74% (

0.07)

81.26% (

-0.07)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.04% (

6.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.51% (

0.01)

25.49% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Canelas 2010 8.61%

Maritimo 77.15%

Draw 14.23%

Canelas 2010	Draw	Maritimo
2-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 8.61%	1-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 14.23%	0-2 @ 11.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 9.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.87% ( 0) 0-4 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.25% ( 0) 0-5 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1.57% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 77.15%