European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 24, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

MOL Aréna

France U19s
4 - 1
Italy U19s

da Silva (24'), Tchaouna (37', 69'), Arconte (79')
Ba (45+4'), Varela (65'), Bondo (66'), Pereira (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Volpato (16')
Turricchia (32'), Degl'Innocenti (51'), Fontanarosa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Under-19s Championship clash between France Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Under-19s

Last Six:

Last Game: Romania U19s 1-2 France U19s
Tuesday, June 21 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine Under-19s	3	2	7
2	France Under-19s	3	9	6
3	England Under-19s	3	-4	4
4	Turkey Under-19s	3	-7	0

Italy Under-19s

Last Six:

Last Game: Slovakia U19s 0-1 Italy U19s
Tuesday, June 21 at 4.30pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy Under-19s	3	2	7
2	Portugal Under-19s	3	4	6
3	Norway Under-19s	3	-1	4
4	Finland Under-19s	3	-5	0

We said: France Under-19s 1-1 Italy Under-19s

With there being every chance that these two teams could eventually meet in the final, neither will want to give up any potential advantages, despite their qualification. With that in mind, we feel that this fixture could end in a low-scoring draw, a result which will ultimately benefit France in the short term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for France Under-19s had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.64%). The likeliest France Under-19s win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
France Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
37.37% ( 0.02)	21.44% ( -0.01)	41.19% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 71.57% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.2% (

0.04)

27.8% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.51% (

0.05)

48.49% (

-0.04)

France Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

0.02)

16.14% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.43% (

0.04)

45.57% (

-0.04)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.35% (

0.02)

14.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.2% (

0.03)

42.8% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

France Under-19s 37.37%

Italy Under-19s 41.19%

Draw 21.44%

France Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 37.37%	1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.09% 2-3 @ 4.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.19%