Even if they are tempted to make changes to their starting XI, with perhaps two crucial matches to come in the next week, England have enough strength in depth to see off a canny Israel side. A narrow defeat could still see the Israelis through in runners-up spot, and though the Young Lions could roar once again, they are likely to take their foot off the gas in the second half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel Under-19s win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for England Under-19s had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest England Under-19s win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that England Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Israel Under-19s	Draw	England Under-19s
43.58% ( -0.02)	23.81% ( -0)	32.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 61.09% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.08% (

0.02)

40.92% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.69% (

0.02)

63.31% (

-0.02)

Israel Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94%

19.06% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.35% (

-0)

50.65% (

0.01)

England Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47% (

0.02)

24.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41% (

0.03)

59% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Israel Under-19s 43.58%

England Under-19s 32.61%

Draw 23.8%

Israel Under-19s	Draw	England Under-19s
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 43.58%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.61%