Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage

May 23, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Uzbekistan U20s
2 - 2
New Zealand U20s

Fayzullayev (51'), Esanov (90+3')
Rahmonaliyev (10'), Fayzullayev (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Wallace (23'), Herdman (41')
McKay (18'), O'Leary (24')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Uzbekistan Under-20s and New Zealand Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan Under-20s

Last Game: Argentina U20s 2-1 Uzbekistan U20s
Saturday, May 20 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

New Zealand Under-20s

Last Game: Guatemala U20s 0-1 New Zealand U20s
Saturday, May 20 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan Under-20s win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for New Zealand Under-20s had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.89%), while for a New Zealand Under-20s win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Uzbekistan Under-20s	Draw	New Zealand Under-20s
52.71% ( -40.34)	28.17% ( 22.28)	19.12% ( 18.05)

Both teams to score 37.11% (

18.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.64% (

-33.02)

66.36% (

33.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.17% (

-29.72)

84.83% (

29.72)

Uzbekistan Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

-21.8)

25.8% (

21.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

-43.86)

60.75% (

43.86)

New Zealand Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.01% (

30.61)

49.99% (

-30.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.35% (

13.33)

84.65% (

-13.33)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan Under-20s 52.7%

New Zealand Under-20s 19.12%

Draw 28.16%

Uzbekistan Under-20s	Draw	New Zealand Under-20s
1-0 @ 17.47% ( 7.09) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -4.88) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 4.6) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( -12.58) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -12.6) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.87) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -1.86) Other @ 1.79% Total : 52.7%	0-0 @ 12.89% ( 9.66) 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 9.87) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( 2.46) Other @ 0.32% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 8.25) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( 3.96) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 3.03) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.95) Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.12%