Italy U21s
2 - 0
ROI U21s

Sottil (43'), Cutrone (62')
Pirola (20'), Cerofolini (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (65'), Collins (68')

Build-up

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Republic of Ireland Under-21s had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Republic of Ireland Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-21s	Draw	Republic of Ireland Under-21s
61.9%	21.59%	16.51%

Both teams to score 49.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.92%

47.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.68%

69.32%

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33%

14.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.18%

42.81%

Republic of Ireland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.29%

41.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.82%

78.17%

Score Analysis

Italy Under-21s 61.89%

Republic of Ireland Under-21s 16.51%

Draw 21.58%

Italy Under-21s	Draw	Republic of Ireland Under-21s
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 6.31% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.45% Total : 61.89%	1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.58%	0-1 @ 5.35% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.51%