MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 20:10:21| >> :600:29327204:29327204:
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
NSK Olimpiyskiy
Croatia national football team

Ukraine U21s
2 - 0
Croatia U21s

Kashchuk (19'), Sikan (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kacavenda (16'), Stojkovic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Ukraine Under-21s and Croatia Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ukraine U21s 3-0 N. Ireland U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 4.30pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 2-1 Croatia U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Ukraine Under-21s 1-1 Croatia Under-21s

With both teams having been required to come through the playoffs, this should make for a hotly-contested match. With that in mind, we can only back a draw, a result which each side would take ahead of their upcoming fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 56.56%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-3 (6.85%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
23.06% (-15.226 -15.23) 20.38% (-0.19 -0.19) 56.56% (15.418 15.42)
Both teams to score 65.57% (-9.686 -9.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39% (-8.428 -8.43)31.61% (8.428 8.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.89% (-10.604 -10.6)53.1% (10.605 10.61)
Ukraine Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-12.358 -12.36)26.1% (12.36 12.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-20.147 -20.15)61.17% (20.148 20.15)
Croatia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.73% (1.485 1.49)11.27% (-1.484 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.12% (3.15 3.15)35.88% (-3.149 -3.15)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine Under-21s 23.06%
    Croatia Under-21s 56.56%
    Draw 20.38%
Ukraine Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.79% (-1.317 -1.32)
1-0 @ 3.95% (0.472 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-2.012 -2.01)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.799 -0.8)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-2.11 -2.11)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-1.096 -1.1)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-1.453 -1.45)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 23.06%
1-1 @ 8.63% (1.461 1.46)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.997 -1)
0-0 @ 2.94% (1.189 1.19)
3-3 @ 2.06% (-1.264 -1.26)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 9.42% (2.039 2.04)
0-2 @ 7.01% (3.293 3.29)
1-3 @ 6.85% (1.788 1.79)
0-1 @ 6.42% (2.813 2.81)
0-3 @ 5.1% (2.55 2.55)
2-3 @ 4.6% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-4 @ 3.74% (1.133 1.13)
0-4 @ 2.78% (1.471 1.47)
2-4 @ 2.51% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.559 0.56)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.674 0.67)
3-4 @ 1.12% (-0.587 -0.59)
2-5 @ 1.1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 56.56%

How you voted: Ukraine U21s vs Croatia U21s

Ukraine Under-21s
21.1%
Draw
39.5%
Croatia Under-21s
39.5%
38
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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