Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15

Jun 5, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio
2 - 1
Nacional

German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Danubio	Draw	Nacional
22.64% ( 0.49)	28.31% ( 0.29)	49.05% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 40.66% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.97% (

-0.51)

64.02% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.8% (

-0.36)

83.2% (

0.36)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.29% (

0.2)

44.71% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.3% (

0.16)

80.7% (

-0.16)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

-0.61)

26.45% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

-0.83)

61.63% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Danubio 22.64%

Nacional 49.04%

Draw 28.3%

Danubio	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.64%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.3%	0-1 @ 15.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.45% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.8% Total : 49.04%