Defensor
2 - 1
Fenix

Elizari (2', 18')
de los Santos (25'), Rossi (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

de los Santos (45' og.)
Casas (77'), Barboza (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Fenix
40.14%	26.98%	32.88%

Both teams to score 50.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.34%

54.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.01%

75.99%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31%

26.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05%

61.95%

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91%

31.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59%

67.41%

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 40.15%

Fenix 32.88%

Draw 26.97%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Fenix
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.15%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.88%