Wanderers

0 - 3

Danubio

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.