Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11

Nov 20, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Wanderers
2 - 1
River Plate

Milan (89'), Viudez (90+1')
Fonseca (26'), Cerro (68'), Garcia (71'), Acosta (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cristobal (15')
Olivera (51'), Viera (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Maldonado 3-0 Wanderers
Wednesday, November 15 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Fenix
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.18%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	River Plate
28.86% ( -0.18)	28.96% ( 0.01)	42.18% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 43.44% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.16% (

-0.09)

62.84% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.65% (

-0.07)

82.35% (

0.07)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.6% (

-0.2)

38.4% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.85% (

-0.19)

75.15% (

0.19)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

0.05)

29.48% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

0.06)

65.49% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 28.85%

River Plate 42.17%

Draw 28.95%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 28.85%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.95%	0-1 @ 13.82% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 42.17%