Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1

Feb 6, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Belvedere

Nacional
2 - 1
Liverpool

Gigliotti (14' pen.), Montiel (32')
Polenta (18'), Montiel (41'), Noguera (58'), Gigliotti (88'), Ramirez (90'), Lozano (90+2'), Candido (90+4'), Trezza (90+3')
Montiel (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pereira (89')
Napoli (43'), Meli (74'), Machado (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 1-4 Nacional
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Liverpool

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 1-4 Nacional
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Liverpool
39.04% ( -0.72)	28.93% ( 0.28)	32.03% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 44.63% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.08% (

-0.85)

61.92% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.32% (

-0.63)

81.68% (

0.64)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0.85)

30.84% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-1.01)

67.11% (

1.02)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

-0.13)

35.46% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

-0.14)

72.23% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Nacional 39.03%

Liverpool 32.02%

Draw 28.92%

Nacional	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.03%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 32.02%