Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Racing de Montevideo	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
44.03% ( -1.1)	27.31% ( 0.25)	28.66% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 47.81% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.71% (

-0.49)

57.29% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.87% (

-0.39)

78.13% (

0.39)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

-0.78)

25.86% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.17% (

-1.06)

60.83% (

1.06)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48% (

0.42)

35.52% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.72% (

0.43)

72.28% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Racing de Montevideo 44.02%

Deportivo Maldonado 28.66%

Draw 27.3%

Racing de Montevideo	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 12.42% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.02%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.66%