Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Aug 29, 2022 at 10pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
0 - 5
Cerro Largo

Gianoli (64'), Tizon (71'), Silva (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Borbas (7'), Lopez (19'), Ocampo (45+1'), Cruz De los Santos (74'), Ergas (89' og.)
Montiel (50'), Borbas (53')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Cerro Largo
34.48% ( -0.05)	29.6% ( -0.06)	35.92% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 43.18% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.15% (

0.2)

63.85% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.92% (

0.14)

83.08% (

-0.14)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.23% (

0.07)

34.77% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.5% (

0.08)

71.5% (

-0.08)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.2% (

0.18)

33.8% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.54% (

0.2)

70.46% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

River Plate 34.47%

Cerro Largo 35.91%

Draw 29.6%

River Plate	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 34.47%	1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.6%	0-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.91%