Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3

Real Madrid
0 - 1
Paris

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thiney (79' pen.)
Soyer (21'), Bourdieu (42'), Bogaert (86'), Greboval (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Paris Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Femenino

Last Game: Paris 2-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Paris Women

Last Game: Paris 2-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Paris Women had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Paris Women win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Paris Women
52.2% ( 0.01)	22.83%	24.96% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.89% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.65% (

-0.01)

41.35% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.25% (

-0.01)

63.75% (

0.01)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09% (

15.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.85% (

45.15% (

-0)

Paris Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.03% (

-0.02)

29.97% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.92% (

-0.02)

66.08% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid Femenino 52.21%

Paris Women 24.96%

Draw 22.83%

Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Paris Women
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.56% Total : 52.21%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 24.96%