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Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
Apr 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal Women
3 - 0
Leicester Women

Mead (28', 78'), Russo (75')
Pelova (30'), Little (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 5-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, April 14 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Leicester Women

After Arsenal cruised to a 6-2 victory in November's reverse fixture against Leicester, we think that the Gunners will showcase their extra quality to clinch another comfortable win in Sunday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 81.17%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Arsenal Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal Women.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawLeicester Women
81.17% (0.042999999999992 0.04) 12.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 6.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.59% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)28.41% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.75% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)49.25% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)5.29% (0.0038999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.16% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)20.83% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.61% (-0.136 -0.14)46.39% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.98% (-0.102 -0.1)82.02% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 81.16%
    Leicester Women 6.81%
    Draw 12.02%
Arsenal WomenDrawLeicester Women
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 10.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.2% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
7-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 81.16%
1-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 12.02%
1-2 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 6.81%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Leicester Women

Arsenal Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
Leicester Women
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 6
Leicester Women
2-6
Arsenal Women
Tierney (36'), Cayman (38')
Cayman (45+4'), Tierney (61')
Lacasse (49'), Russo (52'), Foord (58'), Pelova (61'), Blackstenius (75'), Hurtig (90+8')
Lacasse (45+6')
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Apr 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Leicester Women
0-5
Arsenal Women

Tierney (38'), O'Brien (57')
Mead (2'), Miedema (67', 75'), Plumptre (79' og.), Heath (83')
Wubben-Moy (12'), McCabe (15')
Dec 12, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal Women
4-0
Leicester Women
Nobbs (22'), Miedema (34'), Maanum (81', 83')
Sigsworth (3'), O'Brien (6'), Tierney (82'), Plumptre (86'), Nobbs (90+3')
Purfield (43')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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