Although Everton have played one more league game than their opponents, both sides are level on six points, and we think that two closely matched teams will have to settle for a point apiece on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Everton Ladies in this match.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Everton Ladies
30.4% ( 0.48)	25.26% ( -0.27)	44.34% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 55.02% (

1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

1.38)

48.41% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

1.25)

70.54% (

-1.25)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.38% (

1.04)

29.62% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.34% (

1.24)

65.66% (

-1.24)

Everton Ladies Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

0.49)

21.82% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

0.74)

55.04% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 30.4%

Everton Ladies 44.34%

Draw 25.26%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Everton Ladies
1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.32% Total : 30.4%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.34%