Chelsea Women
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Kerr (90+2')
Kerr (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Chelsea Women 3-0 Aston Villa Women

Chelsea are strong favourites for this one, given their superior league position and after a strong performance and result against West Ham, and they are not expected to lose ground in the title race this weekend. Villa have struggled in front of goal this season and with Chelsea being so dominant, especially at Kingsmeadow, there is unlikely to be a chance for the visitors to get on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 84.57%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 4.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 0-1 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
84.57%	10.47%	4.96%

Both teams to score 44.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.84%

29.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.81%

50.19%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.15%

4.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.48%

19.52%

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.15%

52.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.44%

86.55%

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 84.56%

Aston Villa Women 4.96%

Draw 10.47%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
3-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 11.74% 4-0 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 7.56% 2-1 @ 7.49% 4-1 @ 5.72% 5-0 @ 5.44% 5-1 @ 3.47% 6-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.83% 6-1 @ 1.75% 7-0 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.55% Total : 84.56%	1-1 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 2.56% 2-2 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.58% Total : 10.47%	0-1 @ 1.63% 1-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.75% Total : 4.96%