World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade de Moroni

Comoros
4 - 2
CAR

M'Dahoma (29'), Youssouf (50'), Said (58'), Maolida (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hakim Abdallah (10' og.), Zahary (73' og.)
Namnganda (67'), Ndobe (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Comoros and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

Last Game: Cape Verde 1-2 Comoros
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Central African Republic

Last Game: Ghana 2-1 CAR
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Comoros 1-0 Central African Republic

Given the nature of the occasion for both teams, we are expecting a nervy and cagey affair with little goalmouth action at either end. That said, we can see the home side just about managing to see off the threat of their visitors en route to a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Central African Republic
29.18% ( -1.91)	28.74% ( 0.47)	42.08% ( 1.43)

Both teams to score 44.18% (

-2.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.99% (

-2.15)

62% (

2.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.26% (

-1.62)

81.74% (

1.61)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.33% (

-2.63)

37.67% (

2.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.55% (

-2.66)

74.44% (

2.66)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0.24)

29.12% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-0.3)

65.04% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Comoros 29.17%

Central African Republic 42.07%

Draw 28.72%

Comoros	Draw	Central African Republic
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.7% Total : 29.17%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.72%	0-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.97) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.07%