World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 29, 2022 at 11.35am UK

Japan
1 - 1
Vietnam

Yoshida (55')
Shibasaki (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Binh Nguyen (19')
Chinh Ha (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Vietnam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

Last Six:

Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Germany vs. Japan
Wednesday, November 23 at 1pm in World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	5	7
2	Chile	3	4	6
3	Japan	3	-4	2
4	Ecuador	3	-5	1

Vietnam

Last Game: Vietnam 2-0 Afghanistan
Wednesday, June 1 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Tuesday's game sees two sides at opposite ends of the table square, with Japan being the clear superior side heading into the game. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we are backing Japan to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Vietnam win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Japan	Draw	Vietnam
57.62%	23.1%	19.27%

Both teams to score 50.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88%

49.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81%

71.18%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21%

16.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.26%

46.74%

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.36%

39.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.68%

76.32%

Score Analysis

Japan 57.62%

Vietnam 19.27%

Draw 23.09%

Japan	Draw	Vietnam
1-0 @ 11.87% 2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 5.83% 4-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 57.62%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.27%