World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK

King Fahd International Stadium

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Tajikistan

Al-Dawsari (23')
Al-Dawsari (77'), Albulayhi (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jurabaev (28')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Tajikistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 South Korea (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 30 at 4pm in Asian Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Tajikistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 Jordan
Friday, February 2 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

We said: Saudi Arabia 3-0 Tajikistan

Despite a disappointing defeat last time out, Saudi Arabia have been in imperious form since the turn of the year and remain huge favourites here. We can see the hosts cruising to an emphatic victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Tajikistan
44.36% ( -0.05)	27.8% ( -0)	27.84% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 45.97% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.6% (

0.05)

59.4% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.22% (

0.04)

79.78% (

-0.03)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-0)

26.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

-0)

61.9% (

0.01)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.68% (

0.08)

37.32% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.9% (

0.07)

74.11% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 44.36%

Tajikistan 27.84%

Draw 27.8%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Tajikistan
1-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.95% Total : 44.36%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.84%