World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 1pm UK

San vận dộng quốc gia Mỹ Dinh

Vietnam
3 - 2
Philippines

Linh Nguyen (65', 76'), Hai Pham (90+5')
Toan Nguyen (76'), Hai Pham (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reichelt (62'), Ingreso (89')
Bugas (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Vietnam and Philippines.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vietnam

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Vietnam 0-3 Indonesia
Tuesday, March 26 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Philippines

Last Game: Philippines 0-5 Iraq
Tuesday, March 26 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.

Result
Vietnam	Draw	Philippines
65.67% ( -2.05)	20.88% ( 0.93)	13.45% ( 1.12)

Both teams to score 44.71% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.04% (

-1.36)

49.95% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06% (

-1.23)

71.94% (

1.22)

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.58% (

-1.05)

14.42% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.66% (

-2.07)

42.34% (

2.07)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.24% (

0.97)

47.76% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.94% (

0.7)

83.05% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Vietnam 65.66%

Philippines 13.45%

Draw 20.88%

Vietnam	Draw	Philippines
1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.41) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 65.66%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.88%	0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.84% Total : 13.45%