MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 02:11:29| >> :120:12704:12704:
Real Sociedad logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Red Bull Salzburg

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Salzburg


Elustondo (38')
FT

Dedic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 3-2 Hartberg
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Real Sociedad 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Real Sociedad have been arguably the revelation of this Champions League campaign so far, sealing progression after just four games, and will hope for a favour from Benfica to boost their chances of winning the group heading into a matchday six encounter with Inter. Salzburg dropping into the Europa League would give them a huge chance to be competitive, but it is likely to go down to the final matchday, as it will be a big ask for them to get a result here given Real's form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawRed Bull Salzburg
34.15% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 25.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.19% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.016000000000005 0.02)62.95% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)24.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)58.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.15%
    Red Bull Salzburg 40.19%
    Draw 25.66%
Real SociedadDrawRed Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.15%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.19%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Salzburg

Real Sociedad
87.1%
Draw
7.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
5.2%
116
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Salzburg
0-2
Real Sociedad

Solet (41'), Pavlovic (76'), Struber (77'), Baidoo (88')
Oyarzabal (7'), Mendez (27')
Le Normand (15'), Mendez (59')
Feb 22, 2018 8.05pm
Round of 32
Salzburg
2-1
Real Sociedad
Dabbur (10'), Berisha (74' pen.)
Schlager (9'), Dabbur (32')
Navas (28')
Navas (24'), Illarramendi (90')
Navas (71')
Feb 15, 2018 6pm
Round of 32
Real Sociedad
2-2
Salzburg
Odriozola (57'), Januzaj (80')
Rulli (28'), Illarramendi (36'), Moreno (41'), Prieto (72'), Elustondo (83')
Oyarzabal (27' og.), Minamino (90')
Hee-Chan (41'), Ramalho (60'), Samassekou (62'), Yabo (74'), Caleta-Car (79'), Dabbur (83')
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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