Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
30.87% ( -1) | 27.2% ( -0.37) | 41.93% ( 1.37) |
Both teams to score 49.18% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.95% ( 1.11) | 56.04% ( -1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.87% ( 0.89) | 77.12% ( -0.89) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% ( -0.14) | 33.19% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% ( -0.15) | 69.8% ( 0.14) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( 1.26) | 26.37% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( 1.65) | 61.53% ( -1.65) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |