Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Las Palmas win it is 0-1 (6.07%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
56.93% ( 1.26) | 23% ( -0.27) | 20.07% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% ( -0.1) | 47.65% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( -0.1) | 69.85% ( 0.1) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( 0.41) | 16.51% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% ( 0.72) | 46.25% ( -0.72) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% ( -1.07) | 37.94% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% ( -1.05) | 74.71% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |