Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
38.1% ( -0.44) | 25.16% ( -0.08) | 36.74% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 57.19% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.61% ( 0.4) | 46.39% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.33% ( 0.37) | 68.67% ( -0.37) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% ( -0.05) | 24.01% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.73% ( -0.08) | 58.26% ( 0.07) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.26% ( 0.47) | 24.74% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.7% ( 0.65) | 59.3% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |