Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
37.59% ( 0.7) | 25.41% ( -0.16) | 36.99% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( 0.7) | 47.56% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( 0.65) | 69.76% ( -0.65) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% ( 0.71) | 24.82% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.6% ( 0.98) | 59.4% ( -0.98) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% ( 0.02) | 25.14% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.14% ( 0.04) | 59.85% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |