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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Sevilla logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Sevilla

Starfelt (22')
Tapia (45')
Tapia (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
En-Nesyri (84')
Soumare (28'), Rakitic (45'), Torres (65'), Gudelj (80'), En-Nesyri (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Turegano 0-4 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, November 1 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Quintanar 0-3 Sevilla
Wednesday, November 1 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Sevilla

Sevilla have so much talent, and it would not be a surprise to see them find a run of wins in the not too distant future. Celta are really struggling, meanwhile, and we are therefore backing the visitors to secure an important three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawSevilla
40.32% (-4.172 -4.17) 26.33% (0.105 0.11) 33.35% (4.066 4.07)
Both teams to score 52.69% (1.328 1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (0.94600000000001 0.95)51.94% (-0.948 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (0.812 0.81)73.68% (-0.815 -0.81)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (-1.685 -1.69)25.35% (1.684 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (-2.369 -2.37)60.14% (2.366 2.37)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (3.297 3.3)29.42% (-3.298 -3.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (3.858 3.86)65.41% (-3.859 -3.86)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 40.32%
    Sevilla 33.35%
    Draw 26.32%
Celta VigoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.92 -0.92)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-1.017 -1.02)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.385 -0.39)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.649 -0.65)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.29 -0.29)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.32%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.238 0.24)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.474 0.47)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.696 0.7)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.749 0.75)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.531 0.53)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.477 0.48)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.275 0.28)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.231 0.23)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.35%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Celta Vigo
22.2%
Draw
27.0%
Sevilla
50.8%
63
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
En-Nesyri (43'), Acuna (81')
Rodriguez (89'), Paciencia (90+3')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Veiga (33')
Salas (54')
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Celta Vigo
0-1
Sevilla

Mendez (2'), Aspas (88')
Mir (54')
Rakitic (11'), Navas (38'), Jordan (62')
Apr 12, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 30
Celta Vigo
3-4
Sevilla
Aspas (20' pen., 23'), Mendez (43')
Aspas (10'), Mallo (50'), Mendez (74')
Kounde (7'), Fernando (35'), Rakitic (60'), Papu (76')
Kounde (19'), Carlos (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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