Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
26.68% ( 0.58) | 26.32% ( -0.11) | 47% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.33% ( 0.76) | 54.66% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24% ( 0.62) | 75.99% ( -0.63) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.29% ( 0.9) | 35.7% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.52% ( 0.91) | 72.47% ( -0.92) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( 0.1) | 23.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( 0.15) | 57.16% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.68% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |