Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rennes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rennes.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Rennes |
21.72% ( -0.46) | 24.92% ( -0.16) | 53.36% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 48.39% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.6% ( 0.13) | 53.39% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.07% ( 0.11) | 74.93% ( -0.11) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.48% ( -0.39) | 39.52% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.79% ( -0.36) | 76.21% ( 0.36) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( 0.3) | 19.98% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% ( 0.48) | 52.16% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.39% Total : 21.72% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |