Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
66.61% ( -0.03) | 19.29% ( 0.02) | 14.09% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.51% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.24% ( -0.05) | 41.76% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.83% ( -0.05) | 64.16% ( 0.05) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( -0.03) | 11.64% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.31% ( -0.05) | 36.68% ( 0.05) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.29% ( -0.02) | 41.7% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.82% ( -0.02) | 78.17% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 11.22% 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.29% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.58% Total : 14.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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