Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
27.38% ( -0.2) | 24.53% ( -0.07) | 48.09% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.05% ( 0.14) | 46.94% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.81% ( 0.13) | 69.19% ( -0.13) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( -0.08) | 31.05% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% ( -0.09) | 67.36% ( 0.09) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% ( 0.16) | 19.59% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.48% ( 0.26) | 51.52% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 48.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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