Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
35.94% ( -0.04) | 26.86% ( 0.01) | 37.2% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.19% ( -0.03) | 53.81% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.72% ( -0.03) | 75.28% ( 0.03) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( -0.04) | 28.71% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( -0.05) | 64.54% ( 0.05) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% ( 0) | 27.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.4% ( 0) | 63.59% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.93% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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