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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Frosinone logo

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Frosinone

Belotti (16'), Ikone (19'), Martinez (43'), Gonzalez (53'), Barak (85')
Martinez (4'), Terracciano (69'), N'Zola (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mazzitelli (66')
Romagnoli (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Frosinone

With Roma and Juventus to come next for Frosinone, there seems no end in sight to their spiral down the standings - and Fiorentina can get off the mark for 2024 at their expense. Neither side has been able to keep the back door shut of late, so several goals could be shared at Stadio Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawFrosinone
65.42% (0.133 0.13) 19.48% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 15.1% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.5% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (0.146 0.15)40.45% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (0.152 0.15)62.82% (-0.155 -0.16)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (0.078000000000003 0.08)11.58% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.44% (0.16999999999999 0.17)36.55% (-0.174 -0.17)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.18%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.41%
    Frosinone 15.1%
    Draw 19.48%
FiorentinaDrawFrosinone
2-0 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 65.41%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.48%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.1%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Frosinone

Fiorentina
80.6%
Draw
14.5%
Frosinone
4.8%
62
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')
Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')
Apr 7, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-1
Frosinone

Dabo (90')
Ciofani (84')
Beghetto (41'), Paganini (59'), Capuano (71'), Goldaniga (90')
Nov 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (89')
Zampano (26'), Ariaudo (48'), Maiello (68')
Benassi (47')
Mar 20, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-0
Fiorentina
Ajeti (25'), Gori (35'), Kragl (82'), Sammarco (88')
Alonso (31'), Roncaglia (36'), Astori (49'), Kalinic (81')
Nov 1, 2015 11.30am
Fiorentina
4-1
Frosinone
Rebic (24'), Rodriguez (29'), Babacar (31' pen.), Suarez (43')
Frara (87')
Paganini (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916


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