Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
65.23% ( -0.51) | 21.07% ( 0.42) | 13.69% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 44.79% ( -1.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% ( -1.53) | 50.2% ( 1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% ( -1.37) | 72.16% ( 1.37) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( -0.65) | 14.63% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.24% ( -1.26) | 42.75% ( 1.25) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.46% ( -0.81) | 47.53% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.11% ( -0.61) | 82.88% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.2% Total : 65.22% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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