Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.33%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
69.12% ( -0.08) | 19.9% ( 0.05) | 10.99% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 40.52% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.45% ( -0.14) | 51.55% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% ( -0.12) | 73.34% ( 0.13) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.14% ( -0.06) | 13.86% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.75% ( -0.13) | 41.25% ( 0.14) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.04% ( -0.03) | 52.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.38% ( -0.02) | 86.62% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 14.5% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 69.11% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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