Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
51.91% ( 0.34) | 24.3% ( -0.14) | 23.79% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.11% ( 0.42) | 48.89% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% ( 0.38) | 70.98% ( -0.38) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( 0.3) | 18.81% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.49) | 50.24% ( -0.49) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.96% ( 0.06) | 35.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.21% ( 0.06) | 71.78% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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