Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Mar 9, 2024 at 10.45am UK

HBF Park

Perth Glory
2 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Taggart (72', 90')
Taggart (24')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taylor (40'), Mauragis (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Central Coast
Saturday, March 2 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
40.77% ( 0.24)	23.15% ( -0.07)	36.07% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 64.58% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.23% (

0.35)

36.77% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.06% (

0.39)

58.94% (

-0.38)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.46% (

0.25)

18.54% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.21% (

0.43)

49.79% (

-0.42)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28% (

0.08)

20.72% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.66% (

0.12)

53.33% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 40.77%

Newcastle Jets 36.07%

Draw 23.15%

Perth Glory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 40.77%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.07%