Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 7, 2023 at 6am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
0 - 3
Central Coast

Lacroix (35'), Garuccio (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cummings (21'), N'Kololo (35'), Wenzel-Halls (90+1')
Wenzel-Halls (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 3-3 Western Utd
Saturday, April 1 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Western United 1-3 Central Coast Mariners

These are two teams that each have something to fight for, but with the visitors trying to keep their title hopes alive they should be able to use their momentum throughout this season to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
34.35% ( 1.24)	23.03% ( 0.18)	42.62% ( -1.41)

Both teams to score 64.63% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.46% (

-0.47)

36.53% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.32% (

-0.52)

58.68% (

0.51)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

0.44)

21.49% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46% (

0.67)

54.53% (

-0.67)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33% (

-0.75)

17.67% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.7% (

-1.32)

48.3% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Western United 34.35%

Central Coast Mariners 42.62%

Draw 23.03%

Western United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.64% Total : 34.35%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.99% Total : 42.62%