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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Defensa y Justicia

Newell's OB
vs.
Defensa

FT

Malatini (81')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-1 San Lorenzo
Sunday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawDefensa y Justicia
45.14% (0.34800000000001 0.35) 28.53% (-0.15 -0.15) 26.32% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 43.1% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.46% (0.373 0.37)62.54% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.87% (0.273 0.27)82.13% (-0.274 -0.27)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.361 0.36)27.72% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (0.461 0.46)63.29% (-0.463 -0.46)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)40.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (0.033999999999999 0.03)76.98% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 45.14%
    Defensa y Justicia 26.32%
    Draw 28.53%
Newell's Old BoysDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.35% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 45.14%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.19% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 26.32%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 8pm
Jul 25, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 10
Newell's OB
1-2
Defensa
Garro (90+5')
Sforza (17'), Ditta (31'), Sordo (56'), Perez (59'), Luciano (86'), Lema (90+3')
Fernandez (5'), Duarte (48')
Fontana (12'), Souto (45+1'), Lopez (58')
Feb 11, 2022 12.30am
Aug 25, 2021 8.30pm
Second Phase
Defensa
2-0
Newell's OB
Hachen (57'), Pizzini (76')
Silva (90+3')

Ateya (11'), Negri (50'), Lema (51'), Maccari (80'), Compagnucci (90+1')
Mar 13, 2021 10.20pm
First Phase
Defensa
4-0
Newell's OB
Benitez (7', 26'), Bou (50' pen.), Pizzini (66')
Britez (3')

Fernandez (35'), Sforza (70'), Lema (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


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