Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Malcorra (86')
Lovera (30'), Toledo (37'), Ortiz (45+5'), Mallo (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Schor (31'), Ferreira (40'), Vangioni (45+5'), Schor (74'), Velazquez (82'), Eduardo Recalde (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions

Last Game: Gimnasia 2-1 Rosario
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, September 24 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario Central	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
40.71% ( -0.5)	27.96% ( 0.21)	31.32% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 47.13% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.28% (

-0.68)

58.72% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74% (

-0.54)

79.26% (

0.54)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

-0.6)

28.3% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

-0.77)

64.02% (

0.77)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

-0.16)

34.27% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

-0.17)

70.97% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Rosario Central 40.71%

Newell's Old Boys 31.32%

Draw 27.96%

Rosario Central	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.71%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.32%