Bahia
2 - 3
Atletico Mineiro

Otavio (62'), Gilberto (66')
Mugni (34'), Danielzinho (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hulk (73' pen.), Keno (74', 77')
Arana (45'), Sasha (80'), Nathan (87')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bahia 0-2 Atletico Mineiro

With the title now within reach, Atletico do not look like they will be denied no matter how well or poorly they play in this encounter. Bahia have been impressive at home, so they could cause Galo some problems early on, but there is just too much quality and depth with Atletico as opposed to Bahia, who have Gilberto but no one else who can consistently be a threat, which should make the defensive assignment for the league leaders reasonably simple. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
29.56%	27.48%	42.95%

Both teams to score 47.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43%

57.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65%

78.35%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.03%

34.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.28%

71.71%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46%

26.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25%

61.74%

Score Analysis

Bahia 29.56%

Atletico Mineiro 42.95%

Draw 27.48%

Bahia	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.56%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.95%