Brasileiro | Gameweek 17

Jul 17, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Botafogo
0 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Tche (30'), Goncalves (45+7'), Del Piage (82'), Mezenga (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zaracho (55')
Rabello (31'), Rodrigues de Souza (40'), Mariano (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Corinthians	17	2	29
4	Atletico Mineiro	16	7	28
5	Athletico Paranaense	17	3	28

We said: Botafogo 1-2 Atletico Mineiro

Botafogo's availability issues, allied to their struggles in the final third, make Atletico a far more settled unit ahead of Sunday's game. Therefore, expect the champions to overcome their promoted rivals; keeping the pressure up on future Libertadores opponents Palmeiras at the top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
27.39% ( -0.91)	25.92% ( -0.48)	46.69% ( 1.39)

Both teams to score 51.06% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.3% (

1.37)

52.7% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.66% (

1.16)

74.34% (

-1.16)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

0.01)

34.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24% (

0.02)

70.76% (

-0.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

1.24)

22.55% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.86% (

1.81)

56.14% (

-1.82)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 27.39%

Atletico Mineiro 46.69%

Draw 25.92%

Botafogo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 27.39%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.69%