Brasileiro | Gameweek 25

Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
1 - 0
Bahia

Pedro (61' pen.)
Maia (24')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yago (60'), Rezende (61')
Kanu (49')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 24 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bahia

All competitions

Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Santos
Tuesday, September 19 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Bahia
59.37% ( 1.85)	21.9% ( -0.27)	18.74% ( -1.58)

Both teams to score 53.12% (

-1.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.21% (

-1.1)

44.79% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.85% (

-1.07)

67.15% (

1.07)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.29% (

0.23)

14.71% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.09% (

0.43)

42.91% (

-0.43)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.28% (

-2.31)

37.72% (

2.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.51% (

-2.32)

74.49% (

2.32)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 59.36%

Bahia 18.74%

Draw 21.9%

Flamengo	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.36%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.9%	0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.41% Total : 18.74%