Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 23, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vitor Geminiano Cavalieri (35'),
Jair (65')
FT (HT: 0-0)
We said: Vasco da Gama 0-2 Athletico Paranaense
It will take more than just a new face on the sidelines to turn around the fortunes of Vasco da Gama and playing a side with its share of chance creators along with one of the best strikers in the league is probably the last thing they need.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 56.88% . A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.13% .
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.22%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%) , while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.24%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
Result Vasco da Gama Draw Athletico Paranaense 56.88% ( 0.29) 24.99% ( -0.23) 18.13% ( -0.06)
Both teams to score 43.08% ( 0.48)
42.33% ( 0.69) 57.67% ( -0.69)
21.57% ( 0.54) 78.43% ( -0.54)
79.74% ( 0.39) 20.27% ( -0.39)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.39% ( 0.62) 52.62% ( -0.61)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
54.02% ( 0.33) 45.98% ( -0.33)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 18.3% ( 0.26) 81.71% ( -0.25)
Vasco da Gama 56.88%
Athletico Paranaense 18.13%
Draw 24.99%
Vasco da Gama Draw Athletico Paranaense 1-0 @ 14.87% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.88% 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.99% 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.49% Total : 18.13%
How you voted: Vasco vs Athletico PR
Vasco da Gama
Draw
Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
50.0%
12
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
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