Brasileiro | Gameweek 12

Jun 27, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
1 - 0
Cuiaba

Jair (77' pen.)
Rayan (38'), Pec (67'), Orellano (77'), Jair (90+4'), Gabriel (90+7'), de Sousa Lemos (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliveira (39'), Sobral (57'), Denilson (88'), Empereur (90')
Oliveira (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Goias
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Botafogo
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vasco da Gama 1-2 Cuiaba

Although Cuiaba have struggled in front of goal this season, they have tended to fare well on their travels, and we think that they will extend their unbeaten away run to four matches with a narrow victory over a Vasco da Gama side who have lost six consecutive games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Cuiaba
53.6% ( 1.18)	25.71% ( -0.35)	20.69% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 44.92% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.71% (

0.42)

57.29% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.87% (

0.34)

78.12% (

-0.34)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.55% (

0.68)

21.45% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.53% (

1.03)

54.46% (

-1.03)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.18% (

-0.63)

42.82% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.86% (

-0.54)

79.14% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 53.59%

Cuiaba 20.69%

Draw 25.7%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 14.13% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.59%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.69%