Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 1
Dortmund

Demirovic (23')
Gouweleeuw (79'), Gumny (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Malen (35')
Haller (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

A closely-fought contest between two teams eager to bounce back from defeats last weekend is set to take place on Saturday, but Dortmund will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top. Augsburg have favoured playing in front of their own fans so far this season, but Dortmund have enjoyed their recent meetings with Die Fuggerstadter and should ultimately have enough firepower to outscore their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (5.23%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
35.11% ( -0.45)	22.13% ( 0.04)	42.75% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 68.34% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.2% (

-0.31)

31.8% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.67% (

-0.36)

53.33% (

0.36)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

-0.35)

18.93% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.56% (

-0.59)

50.44% (

0.59)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.29% (

0.03)

15.71% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.22% (

0.05)

44.78% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 35.11%

Borussia Dortmund 42.75%

Draw 22.13%

Augsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.11%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 42.75%