Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
0 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Leite (64')

Odilon (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 23 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Union Berlin (11) and Leverkusen (15) have conceded the fewest Bundesliga goals since the turn of the year, but considering this fixture has seen both teams score in five of the last seven meetings, an entertaining contest could be on the cards on Saturday. The Irons Ones boast a strong unbeaten home record this season, but Die Werkself have gone from strength to strength in recent months and we believe that they can follow up their five-goal victory in the reverse fixture with another triumph in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
36.87% ( -0.43)	26.28% ( 0.1)	36.86% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.64% (

-0.41)

51.36% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.82% (

-0.36)

73.18% (

0.36)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

-0.44)

26.99% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

-0.58)

62.34% (

0.59)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

0.01)

26.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

62.34% (

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 36.87%

Bayer Leverkusen 36.86%

Draw 26.27%

Union Berlin	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.87%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.86%