Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
0 - 0
FC Koln

Siebatcheu (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln

In addition to suffering two straight losses, FC Koln have failed to score in four of their previous five outings, putting Union Berlin in pole position to claim all three points on Saturday. Given that last weekend's defeat was Union's first since November, the Irons Ones should return to winning ways on home soil, keeping a clean sheet in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
54.47% ( -1.39)	23.64% ( 0.21)	21.89% ( 1.18)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.9% (

0.51)

48.1% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.74% (

0.47)

70.26% (

-0.47)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

-0.32)

17.55% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.91% (

-0.55)

48.08% (

0.55)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64% (

1.46)

36.36% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.86% (

1.45)

73.14% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 54.47%

FC Koln 21.89%

Draw 23.63%

Union Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.47%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.89%