Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Osterhage (64')
Gamboa (3'), Stoger (25'), Bero (72'), Losilla (75'), Bernardo (90+5'), Riemann (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stark (90+3')
Jung (25'), Stage (35'), Bittencourt (42'), Stark (66'), Ducksch (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, December 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Werder Bremen

We anticipate a tight contest on Sunday between two sides who sit level on points and will be desperate to avoid a harmful defeat. Werder Bremen return to action with more momentum but are yet to win on the road this season, and we anticipate the teams sharing the points and maintaining a healthy lead over the relegation zone at the hallway point of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Werder Bremen
47.57% ( -0.99)	22.97% ( 0.3)	29.46% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 62.42% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.56% (

-1.03)

38.43% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.27% (

-1.1)

60.72% (

1.09)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.5% (

-0.75)

16.49% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.78% (

-1.36)

46.21% (

1.36)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

-0.07)

25.24% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

-0.1)

59.99% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 47.57%

Werder Bremen 29.46%

Draw 22.96%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.51% Total : 47.57%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.46%